Diverging views emerge on Vancouver home construction outlook
A Vancouver real estate services firm is pushing back against the widely held view that not enough homes are being built in Metro Vancouver.
In a report it releases semi-annually, Rennie highlights that construction began on 33,000 homes locally last year – which was a record for the region.
Still, the firm acknowledges not all municipalities in Metro Vancouver are building enough, given record immigration levels.
“The onus is then on cities, towns, villages, communities, to accommodate that growth, with infrastructure, transportation, hospitals and housing,” said Rennie’s head economist, Ryan Berlin. “And the reality is – I don’t think that municipalities – they’ve kind of had a myopic view, and sort of like, we’re going to go it alone, we’re going to do things our way, and now I think that mindset is changing a little bit.”
But not everybody feels rosy about the home construction outlook.
Earlier this month, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation forecast a slowdown in building, pointing to high costs and financing constraints.
“The other thing I would say is there is significant risk of reduced construction in 2024 and going forward,” said economist Tom Davidoff with the University of British Columbia’s Sauder School of Business. “Interest rates have not come down. My understanding is very challenged economically to make rental projects work and I would imagine presale activity is pretty slow as well.”
While many economists expect interest rates to drop, uncertainty could leave some homebuilders and potential buyers waiting on the sidelines.
“It’s simple math,” said RE/MAX Canada president Christopher Alexander. “When developers don’t have enough people to buy their projects, they don’t build them. When rates started to rise, people stopped buying, and the more they rose, the less purchasers on top of that. So it’s been a compound effect.”
The Rennie report also takes a look at the drop off in first-time buyers in recent years.
“The proportion of first-time homebuyers in all home sales in British Columbia, in Metro Vancouver, has fallen by about two-thirds today versus where that activity was before the pandemic,” said Berlin.
As for improving the situation for those trying to get into the market, some in the real estate space want the feds to take action in this week’s budget.
“Incentivize as much development of both affordable housing, purpose-built rentals as we can, and find a way to speed up development time so that we can bring more product to the marketplace,” Alexander said, when asked about his federal budget hopes.
In terms of specific incentives, Alexander is calling for tax breaks or credits, saying certain projects are not profitable in the current climate.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
Lanny McDonald and a few old Flames take the Stanley Cup on a surprise visit to the man who saved his life
The Stanley Cup was passing through town Friday, and Lanny Legend took it upon himself to take it for a surprise visit.
This Calgary home has a giant tree in the middle, and it's for sale
There's a luxury 'tree home' for sale in Calgary.
Chad Daybell sentenced to death for killing wife and girlfriend’s two children in jury decision
Jurors resumed deliberations Saturday on whether a man should be sentenced to death after being convicted days earlier of the murders of his wife and his girlfriend’s two youngest children in Idaho.
Robert Pickton stabbed with toothbrush and broken broom handle: victim's family
The family of one of Robert Pickton's victims says the convicted serial killer suffered an incredibly violent death at the hands of another inmate.
Father who killed one-year-old son with axe may be allowed to travel in southwestern Ontario
A Mennonite father who killed his one-year-old son with an axe may be allowed to travel to parts of southern Ontario in the coming months
Panama prepares to evacuate first island in face of rising sea level
On a tiny island off Panama's Caribbean coast, about 300 families are packing their belongings in preparation for a dramatic change. Generations of Gunas who have grown up on Gardi Sugdub in a life dedicated to the sea and tourism will trade that next week for the mainland’s solid ground.
Pedestrian dies after being hit by train in Brockville, Ont.
Brockville Police says a pedestrian has died following a collision with a train that was heading to Toronto.
'It feels like freedom': Why some Albertans like going nude in nature
Few people can say they accidentally purchased a nude beach — but Shelley can. When she saw a piece of land she could fondly remember camping on was up for sale, she inquired about it and ended up purchasing it. She soon found that there were already inhabitants on it.
Trump election victory 'very unlikely,' but 'possible': former FBI director Comey
Former FBI director James Comey says while he believes former U.S. president Donald Trump "will be defeated" in the upcoming presidential election, he doesn’t think it’s a given.